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Threats
 
  The missile clash at the Lithuanian border

Èeslovas Iðkauskas, political analyst
2010 02 08

It seems that Washington does not want to lose good relations with Poland, which got worse when the decision was made not to deploy the U.S.antimissile defense shield system in its territory. According to Poles, it was the fault of B.Obama, who pressed the „reset“ button in the relationship with Russia. This also implied a refusal to deploy elements of the antimissile defense shield (radar and 10 anti-ballistic missiles) in the Czech Republic and Poland.

But at the end of 2008 Poland was promised that the U.S. Patriot missile battery would be deployed close to Warsaw in order to protect the capital from possible blows.

Thus, the Polish got what they were up to: the antimissile air defense system Patriot will be deployed not in the suburbs of Warsaw, but in the Morong settlement, in the north of the country. Some time ago it used to have three Polish army units, and now the town with 15 thousand citizens has several schools and beerhouses, one cinema and a high rate (20 percent) of unemployment… Thus, local community is glad about the deployment of the American units.

The settlement situated in a very favorable location is at a distance of 60 km (35 miles) from the Kaliningrad region, i.e. the Russian border; Kaliningrad is in a distance of 100 km; the Baltyisk military base is even closer. According to Polish Defense Minister Bogdan Klich, Morong has been chosen for Patriot because of good conditions for the deployment of military quarters and technical equipment, whereas The Washington Post says that missiles will be brought to Poland at the end of March-beginning of April.

The Declaration on Strategic Cooperation between the United States and Poland was signed in August 2008. Pursuant to the declaration which was coordinated last autumn, it is envisaged to deploy from four to eight Patriot missile launch components (4 missiles in each) in Poland.  They would be served by about 100 U.S. troops to be transferred to Poland from the NATO base from Germany. Elaboration of the declaration commenced in October of the last year when the U.S. Vice president Joe Biden paid a visit to Poland.

Some time earlier the U.S. Defense Secretary R.Gates said that Washington would seek to deploy a new missile defense system SM-3 in Poland and Czech Republic by the year 2015. The United States also planned to deliver the missiles  Patriot PAC-2 and Patriot PAC-3. The company Raytheon started their production back in 1976. “Surface-to-air” missiles weighing about 700 kg and reaching the distance of 160 km were used for the first time during the Gulf War in 1990.

According to The New York Times,  new missiles at the Russian borders did not seem to frighten Moscow. But the Russian analyst P. Felgenhauer highlighted that „the appearance of the U.S. troops at the Russian border would be like a nail in the coffin of the American and Russian relations“. Heads of the Baltic Navy said that they were aware of these American plans two years ago, whereas  Colonel-General A.Kornukov, Russia’s former air-force commander-in-chief, noted that „the American missiles would appear within limits of our tactical missiles, thus, there is no need to worry“.

Indeed, Russia has relevant tools of response. As it happens, the Russian antiaircraft hardware S-300 (similar to that of Patriot) has not yet been removed from the Kaliningrad region. Both the American and Russian weapons could be used for the ballistic missiles and for aircraft attacks.

In 2008 D.Medvedev said that Iskander missiles could be stationed in the Kaliningrad region, but when B.Obama abandoned the plans to deploy components of the antimissile defense shield in the Eastern Europe, Moscow also revoke its intentions. However, today nobody could predict Moscow‘s response:  according to officers of the Defense Ministry, the Baltic Navy would be strengthened with long-range cruise missiles, and that it was going to purchase Lada class submarines etc.

Although according to Russians the appearance of the U.S. missiles at Russia’s borders is „a bite of mosquito“, for Moscow‘s „hawks“ it is another pretext for allocating billions for the armament. The problem is that this missile clash takes place in the geopolitically sensitive Baltic Sea Region and at the Lithuanian borders.


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