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Private Soldiers: How Moscow Masks Its Participation in the Ukrainian and Syrian conflicts
Viktor Denisenko 2016 04 25
In the span of just several years, strategic camouflage became the main tactic of Russia's geopolitical games. For the first time in modern history, it was used during the annexation of Crimea. Today there is no secret that the Russian forces were acting on the Ukrainian territory disguised as self-defense groups” (this fact was acknowledged by Vladimir Putin himself in the propaganda film The Crimea: Way Back Home). Today such games are continued to be played not only in the post-Soviet sphere but in Syria as well.
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How to Fill Ukraine’s Security Vacuum
Andreas Umland 2016 04 15
Ukraine faces a mounting challenge from the East while suffering from a fundamental security vacuum. The country is not embedded in international organizations able to help Kyiv secure the Ukrainian state’s territorial integrity and political sovereignty. What other options than the distant prospect of NATO membership does Ukraine have to fill this vacuum today? The only feasible solution with at least some chance of being realized is to revive an old Polish plan known as Intermarium—a union of the lands between the seas.
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Solving Ukraine’s Security Dilemma
Andreas Umland 2016 04 14
A main reason for the recent escalation of tensions in Eastern Europe is the absence of an effective security structure encompassing such militarily weak countries as Moldova, Georgia, and Ukraine. While Ukrainian public opinion has recently made a U-turn from a rejection to an embrace of NATO, the Alliance will not be ready to extend its commitments farther east anytime soon. Although future enlargement of the Alliance is possible, Ukraine’s confrontation with Russia as well as Moscow’s anti-Western stance would have to decrease significantly for that to happen. Recently, the opposite tendency was on display: The more aggression the Kremlin has shown, the less likely it is that the North Atlantic Council will open its doors to new members in conflict with Moscow.
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Gratitude for Mass Murder
Andreas Umland 2016 04 01
The Kremlin will be the main winner of a Dutch popular rejection of the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement
On 6 April 2016, the Netherlands will be holding a national referendum where the Dutch people will be asked speak out for or against the EU’s Association Agreement with Ukraine – a large treaty between Brussels and Kyiv, signed in 2014 and ratified in 2015. For everybody who knows a bit about the EU, the upcoming Dutch plebiscite on this EU-Ukraine contract looks odd... |
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Is it time to imagine a Russia without Putin?
Viktor Denisenko 2016 03 29
No dictator rules forever. A poster that someone ordered to put up in one of Moscow's public transport stations serves as a reminder of this truth to Russians. It features Joseph Stalin and the text: “That one died, this one will die as well”. The poster was put up on the 5th of March, the date being no coincidence as it is the anniversary of Stalin's death. It is no secret who “this one” mentioned in the poster is. It is indubitably the current head of Kremlin.
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If not Putin, then who? Maybe... Kadyrov?
Vaiva Sapetkaitë, Institute of International Relations and Political Science Vilnius University 2016 03 14
In January the Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov who is supported by the Kremlin has again showed what he is up to. He declared that members of Russia’s protest opposition should be treated as traitors of the country; he called them jackals and enemies of the people (the most insulting words for Russians; during Stalin‘s times „enemies of the people" were despised and condemned). According to Ramzan Kadyrov, liberal opposition tries to use Russia‘s economic difficulties in order to destabilise the state and they should be prosecuted for sabotage.
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Poland‘s policy twists and Lithuania
Viktor Denisenko 2016 02 23
Lithuanian - Polish relationship has recently become quite ambivalent. On the one hand, both countries are members of the European Union and NATO responding negatively to Russia‘s aggression against Ukraine and treating Russia as a danger to the stability of the entire region. On the other hand, bilateral relations are aggravated by Poland‘s reprimands concerning the situation of local Polish community in Lithuania: spelling of Polish names in Lithuanian identity documents etc.
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